Demographic Deep Dive

The AAPI Vote Hawaii and the Filipino Vote Potential

Comprehensive analysis of the Asian American and Pacific Islander electorate in Hawaii, revealing population trends, linguistic diversity, and socioeconomic challenges.

Eligible Voters
706,422

AAPI Eligible Voters in Hawaii

Electorate Share
67%

AAPI Share of Total Electorate

Foreign Born
138,976

Naturalized Citizens

Language
30.2%

Speak Non-English at Home

Voter Engagement Tracker

Tracking AAPI voter turnout trends and participation rates across Hawaii's diverse ethnic communities.

Voter Turnout Trends (3-Cycle Analysis)
Comparative analysis of Asian American and NHPI turnout vs. General Population (2016-2024)
20162020202220240%20%40%60%80%
  • Asian American
  • Native Hawaiian & PI
  • General Population

Historical Insight: The 3-cycle trend reveals a resilient upward trajectory for NHPI voters, who have closed the gap with the general population significantly since 2016.

While 2020 saw a universal spike due to mail-in voting, 2024 retention rates were higher for Asian Americans (+9% vs 2016) than the general electorate (+4% vs 2016).

2024 Turnout by Ethnic Group
Participation rates and change from 2020
0%20%40%60%80%JapaneseIndianKoreanFilipinoVietnameseChinese
Top Growth

Filipino voters saw the largest increase (+9%) in turnout compared to 2020.

Largest Drop

Chinese American turnout saw the most significant decline (-7%) from 2020 levels.

Strategic Analysis: The Filipino Vote

The Filipino Vote: Key to a 2026 Republican Victory?

While Filipinos are the largest Asian ethnic group in Hawaii (~25% of population), their voting power is currently underutilized. However, with ~110,500 registered voters representing 12.8% of the electorate, this bloc is large enough to swing a close gubernatorial race.

Estimated Share of Total Registered Voters (2022)
12.8%Filipino Bloc
  • Filipino American
  • Other Voters
Filipino American Voter Pipeline
Total PopulationEligible (CVAP)RegisteredVoters
Precinct-Level Targeting
High-priority precincts with >35% Filipino population density for canvassing operations
Tactical View
PrecinctAreaDistrict LocationFilipino %Unregistered GapPriority
38-01Waipahu (West)Dist. 38 (Mililani)
58.2%
+850High
39-02Waipahu (East)Dist. 39 (Royal Kunia)
54.7%
+720High
41-03Ewa Beach (North)Dist. 41 ('Ewa Beach)
49.5%
+680High
30-01Kalihi (Central)Dist. 30 (Kalihi)
47.8%
+920High
40-02Ewa/KapoleiDist. 40 (Lower Village)
42.1%
+550Medium
37-01Mililani/WaipioDist. 37 (Waipi'o)
38.4%
+480Medium
28-03Kalihi ValleyDist. 28 (Sand Island)
36.9%
+610Medium
44-01NānākuliDist. 44 (Honokai Hale)
28.5%
+350Low

Canvassing Strategy

Focus registration drives on Waipahu (38-01, 39-02) and Kalihi (30-01) where unregistered potential is highest. These precincts alone represent ~2,500 potential new voters.

The "Gap" Opportunity

There is a gap of roughly 37,000 eligible but unregistered Filipino citizens. Closing this gap through targeted registration drives in Waipahu and Kalihi could be decisive.

Historical Trend

Total registered voters increased by +13.8% in 2022 vs 2018. The Filipino community's growth outpaces the general population, increasing their leverage each cycle.

Key Battlegrounds

High-density Filipino neighborhoods like Ewa Beach, Waipahu, and Kalihioverlap with several "MUST WIN" priority swing districts, making them the epicenter of the 2026 strategy.

Candidate Matching Tool

Find out which political profile aligns best with your views on Hawaii's key issues.

Question 1 of 425% Complete
What is your top priority for Hawaii's future?

SMS Outreach Campaign

Draft and preview targeted SMS messages for specific voter segments to drive engagement.

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Population & Distribution

AAPI Population by County

Total AAPI population size across Hawaii's four main counties.

AAPI Population by County

Voter Share by County

Percentage of eligible voters who identify as AAPI in each county.

Voter Share by County

Ethnic Diversity

Asian American Groups

Largest Asian American ethnic groups, led by Filipino and Japanese populations.

Asian American Groups

NHPI Groups

Largest Native Hawaiian and Pacific Islander groups.

NHPI Groups

Language & Demographics

Top Languages

Most common non-English languages spoken at home, highlighting the need for multilingual ballot access.

Top Languages

Age Distribution

Breakdown of the AAPI citizen voting age population by age group.

Age Distribution

Socioeconomic Challenges

Disparities: Asian American vs NHPI

Comparison of poverty rates, health insurance coverage, and broadband access, revealing significant disparities affecting the NHPI community.

Disparities: Asian American vs NHPI

Poverty Gap

NHPIs are nearly twice as likely to live in poverty (14.4%) compared to Asian Americans (7.7%).

Digital Divide

17.4% of NHPI households lack broadband access, hindering digital civic engagement.

Language Barriers

16% of Asian American adults in Hawaii are Limited English Proficient (LEP).

Community Resources Directory

Connect with local organizations dedicated to empowering AAPI communities through civic engagement and advocacy.

Council for Native Hawaiian Advancement
Native Hawaiian

A member-based non-profit organization with a mission to enhance the cultural, economic, political, and community development of Native Hawaiians.

Focus:Civic Engagement, Community Development
United Filipino Council of Hawaii
Filipino

An umbrella organization representing numerous Filipino community groups across the state, promoting unity and civic participation.

Focus:Community Advocacy, Heritage
JACL Honolulu Chapter
Japanese

The local chapter of the Japanese American Citizens League, dedicated to protecting civil and human rights and preserving Japanese American heritage.

Focus:Civil Rights, Education
We Are Oceania
Micronesian/Pacific Islander

Empowering the Micronesian community in Hawaii through youth programs, health services, and cultural preservation.

Focus:Social Services, Empowerment
Filipino Chamber of Commerce of Hawaii
Filipino

Promoting the growth and welfare of the Filipino business community and fostering civic leadership.

Focus:Business, Networking
Sariling Gawa Youth Council
Filipino/Youth

A non-profit organization dedicated to fostering cultural awareness and leadership skills among Filipino youth in Hawaii.

Focus:Youth Leadership, Education
Hawaii Chinese Civic Association
Chinese

Promoting Chinese culture and encouraging active participation in the civic life of Hawaii.

Focus:Cultural, Civic
Micronesian United - Big Island
Micronesian

Supporting the Micronesian community on Hawaii Island through advocacy and resource sharing.

Focus:Community Support

Empower the AAPI Vote

Understanding these demographic trends is crucial for effective community organizing and policy advocacy. Use this data to target outreach, improve language access, and build political power.